How China's Fur Industry Looks For Highlights In 2008
China's fur industry has been affected by a series of export policies in the past year. Many problems accumulated by the industry in 2007 focused on the outbreak of the price of raw leather. The price of the raw leather was very strong. The enterprises were miserable, complaining, impetuosity, anxiety and so on, which was full of people's life. We couldn't help but pay much attention to the survival and Prospect of China's fur industry in 2008.
First, the rabbit skin has been touted by the market and the price of the mink skin has been plummeted in 2007.
I saw in the shopping mall that this year's Rex rabbit skin clothing is much cheaper than in 2006, but no matter how hard the Rex industry is, it can not conceal the essence of low-grade leather. Most Rex rabbit skin clothing can not show its proper color. Therefore, using natural Rex rabbit skin is more attractive to consumers than the current dyeing.
Unlike the rex rabbit skin, the popularity of fur wild style in the past two years has brought huge market to rabbit meat belt.
To the public, the popularity of clothing is not a blow of the winter wind. Therefore, the amount of rabbit fur in China in the past 08 years will be a good market.
Two.2007 is a year that keeps raccoon dogs unforgettable, because the market has given the farmers a profound risk education course.
No one thought that the price of the raccoon skin in 2007 would be so low that the new breed of raccoon farmers last year suffered heavy losses.
What causes it?
Driven by profiteering, the price of raccoon skin has increased in recent years, so that raccoon dogs have gained considerable profits.
So people flocked to raise raccoon dogs, causing the situation of supply and demand, and plunging prices.
Gold and diamonds are precious and scarce. If these two things are as large as steel, they are not so valuable now.
Don't believe in the news of warm winter and export reduction. What matters is the number of products.
OPEC, the Middle East oil producing country, does China have fur beating peke? Can market prices lower and unite to reduce the output of raccoon skins?
Impossible, this determines that farmers must suffer from the baptism of the market.
Long dead, not short!
Many middlemen saw that the price of raccoon skin was very low this year, and they began to hoard their skins. Most farmers also did not sell because of low prices.
They all hold the mentality of the raccoon skin price will rise. In fact, they didn't think about it. Didn't they produce the raccoon skin in 2008?
No breed of raccoon dog is a minority. Most farmers still keep seeds, but only a few species are left behind last year. By 2008, the output of raccoon skin will be very high.
Because the price of the raccoon skin is low, all kinds of skins will not be introduced without introduction. In 2006, a lot of leather traders were put up. The pressure was basically suppressed, and the current price could not be sold.
Once the price rebounded, the market will be thrown down, so the price will not soon go well.
The price of the market needs to shake at the bottom. Only when the funds are eliminated, the middlemen who sell their skins lose money and sell, and they dare not hoard their skins. Most of the farmers do not raise them. When the farmers are desperate for the market, the market of the raccoon dog can turn for the better.
For many breeders, the author's voice is: "we can go to see, the popularity of the street wide fur collar raccoon skin consumption is very large, and this year's women's clothing raccoon fur collar also went to the market, it is really a kind of" raccoon skin cheap, willing to use "feeling.
So the price will rise in 08 years, breaking through 200 yuan is not a problem.
In addition, it is important to point out that if farmers want high prices, they will have to cut production and challenge the processing enterprises.
So next year, we will try not to increase production of raccoon skin.
To maintain the current total is to make money.
Three. The benefits of fox fur are intertwined. In November 12th, the National Bureau of Statistics website published the October PPI price of industrial products. Data show that in October, the factory prices of manufactured goods rose by 3.2% over the same period last year, and the purchasing price of raw materials, fuels and power increased by 4.5%.
Among them, food prices rose 8.6%, a record high food prices during the year, according to Xinmin network, the factory price of living goods rose 3.5% over the same period.
Among them, food prices rose 8.6%, clothing category rose 1.3%, general daily use category rose 1.9%, durable consumer goods fell 0.7%.
In the 07 years, the deepest sense of the grassroots of Chinese civilians may be the price problem.
When people choose to choose a suitable way of existence, the value of the raccoon skin market is also displayed, so that the blue fox fur has a chance to show from another angle.
Of course, the loss of blue fox fur also has much to do with it.
Now many people are hoarding Blue Fox Skins, and I also said that the drive of leather traders is not the only thing. The intervention of processing enterprises on raw leather hoarding will kill the profits of leather merchants, thus driving the market to warm up, and the result is a slow rising trend.
The situation of snow fox is much better.
This is not just a matter of output, but last year, the price of gold island fur was very small, and it did not drop much.
The establishment of new species and new prices is the pride capital of snow fox. At this point, both the silver fox skin and the red fox skin should be intertwined with the snow fox skin.
Under the market economy, the relationship between supply and demand is dominant and the cost is secondary.
(I agree with this point very much that this friend's idea is more than some people clamoring for the government to intervene in reality) the price has been going down, even if the quantity of livestock is decreasing, it is still oversupply.
(of course, there are also some Fox Skins being replaced by raccoon skins), which reveals the problem of how incompatible between supply and demand and how big the gap is.
(raccoon mink has begun to show the problem) under such a big gap, it will take several years to achieve the balance between supply and demand so that money can be made.
In recent years, due to the warm winter, animal welfare, international trade and other problems, fur demand growth is slow, especially in warm winter, or even negative growth, and fur production is several times the growth.
The fact that it has increased several times can not be clarified. One obvious fact is that in recent years, in the north of Linyi City, fur animal farming is everywhere, and there are large villages in the villages.
Such a large number of people, it is really feared that they will not lose money.
I think there are many other things like this in China.
Three, in the past, it was too long for the blue fox to be hyped, so we could say that the improvement of the blue fox species has been reinvented. This has also caused many people to remember the high profits that were imported from abroad.
Four. China's mink is expected to further adjust import and export tariffs from January 1, 2008, mainly involving MFN rates, annual provisional rates, agreement tax rates and preferential tax rates.
In the most favoured nation tax rate, next year will continue to fulfill the WTO tariff reduction commitments, further reduce the import tariffs of 45 commodities, such as fresh strawberry and terephthalic acid, and continue to implement tariff quota management for 3 kinds of fertilizers, such as wheat, corn, rice and rice, sugar, wool, wool and cotton, and 3 kinds of fertilizers such as urea, compound fertilizer and diammonium hydrogen phosphate. Urea, compound fertilizer and diammonium hydrogen phosphate will continue to carry out 1% quota tax rates.
The high price of grain will definitely affect the cost of livestock and poultry production, and mink is no exception.
The internal and external difficulties caused China's mink to wait for the rise in labor pains.
The author has searched for a description of the Chinese mink vocabulary. Almost all of them are "China is a big country with mink but not a powerful country".
Power means influence, while Chinese mink is not entirely reasonable in structure, but it affects the price of mink skin in the world.
Chinese mink has entered the ranks of powerful nations.
Over the past few years, the price fluctuation of Chinese mink has caused the price of mink in the Danish auction to plummet, and the stalemate of Chinese mink and the world mink has already been formed.
We can take a look at the details of the auction:
Copenhagen fur center December 2007 13-14 auction results report.
Since the US dollar exchange rate has continued to decline by about 7% since September, the uncertainty in trade has been increased. With the increase of mink production and the influence of the warm winter climate last year, the sales of mink skin have suffered a great price resistance.
In the 13 day auction, the price of sapphire male mink dropped by 23% compared with September, while the price of sapphire mother marten fell by 16%.
The price of silver blue male mink dropped by 21%, Silver Blue mother marten price dropped by 12%, Silver Blue Swan velvet marten price increased by 3%, pearl colored male mink reduced by 19%, pearl pearl mink skin decreased by 9%, dark brown and red brown male marten price dropped by 20%, and dark brown and red pigment female mink skin price dropped by about 17%.
The 14 auction will continue to auction black, Maher Gen Ni, white marten and black cross mink.
Black male mink decreased by 19% compared with September, black female mink price decreased by 9%, black velvet skin decreased by 6%; Maher Gen Ni male and female mink prices fell by about 18% on average; white male mink prices dropped 15%, white female mink situation slightly better, prices fell only 4%; black cross marten price dropped 18%.
The sale of the sale of leather sales of about 95%.
The average price of mink is 197DKK (about 284RMB, 100DKK DKK /144.15 RMB), which is 19% lower than the price level in September.
On the last day's auction, the price of the black male marten fell by 19% compared with the price in September. The price of this black female mink dropped by 9%, and the price of velvet decreased by 6%.
The average price of Mahagen's mink and female mink fell by 18%.
The price of Bai Gong has dropped by 15%. The white lady has sold better, and the price has dropped by only 4%.
The price of black cross has dropped by 18%.
In addition, the Russian market is concerned about the Russian government's decision to reduce the import duty rate of fur coats from 20% to 10%.
The new rules involve both bulk commodities suppliers and natural persons pporting fur through customs. This refers to natural persons who carry fur more than tax exemption limits.
This decision is designed to stop the grey and black imports of fur products.
At present, smuggling of Russian mink coats, arctic fox fur coats and blue-green rabbit fur coats is becoming less and less.
Trade competition under the protection of law will further reduce the price of fur.
Recently, with the small changes in the marten market, some people want to revisit the huge profits in the past. A friend of Hou Jia in Wendeng, Shandong, sent an email to the author and said, "teacher, today's mink skin price has risen to 260. In less than a month, the price has gone up by 60. What do you think?
What will happen in the future?
As the price of mink rose, many farmers began to catch seeds. Now many people are buying seeds everywhere.
I wonder what else is going on? "
"This is very normal, as early as 07 years ago before the hormones, Shandong friends have been consulting me this year to fight hormone skin or seasonal leather, my view is seasonal leather, 06 years of mink prices will inevitably lead to 07 years of hormone skin listing is fierce, low prices, and the season regardless of the listing price or price has great initiative, for the current issue, selling seeds is the most important, the collection of funds, the current high price does not mean that next year the standard mink will go all the way, and there is a concept of time difference."
The 08 year is the year of the pformation of China's fur industry structure and marketing strategy. In this year, there will be many unexpected events. Don't be surprised, no matter whether China's economy or the pformation of China's fur industry is developing at an amazing speed.
During this period of change and twists and turns, everyone should be prepared early, seize opportunities in ideology and form, adapt to current events, and make a great change in personal thinking and career.
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