Foreign Trade Enterprises: Analysis Of The Current Situation

Unsubscribe, the prospect of labor break is unknown. foreign trade Analysis of the current situation of enterprises

Difficult situation, difficult business, life and death test... These gray words and global upward. Economics The situation is in sharp contrast. At the 108th Canton Fair held here, the entrepreneurs' judgments of the situation were astonishing.

As workers' wages and raw material costs rise, RMB The influence of comprehensive factors, such as appreciation, has increased, but profits have declined, or no one has done so. Some enterprises even have "back orders". Faced with the "internal and external difficulties" situation, many enterprises responsible person said that the future will be cautious to take orders, no profit would rather not do, industry shuffling is intensifying, innovative ability of enterprises will break through faster.

　　 "Returning orders" reflects the "internal and external difficulties" of enterprises

Cai Minqiang, chairman of Guangdong Ming Rui (Group) Limited by Share Ltd, said that this year's foreign trade situation is generally an improvement in the economic situation. Depression like 2008 no longer appears, business is optimistic and orders are increasing. But the prospect is uncertain, and two factors affect it immense: first, the appreciation of the renminbi. This is a matter of uncertainty. The first wave of appreciation took three or four years, the renminbi appreciated by 20%, and the next few years are turbulent. It is very difficult to quote, is the exchange rate of USD to RMB 6.65 or 6.4, or 5.5, no one can be sure.

Two, the contradiction between employment and employment is prominent. For the first time in recent years, the phenomenon of "returning orders" appears. In the first 9 months of 2010, orders from customers to businesses increased by about 50%, but workers could not be recruited, especially the lack of skilled workers. The company has pushed up about 20% of the order because of insufficient recruitment. This year is a year of order withdrawal, which is rare in history. Now there are 3000 workers in the enterprise, and the gap is fluctuating between 20%-50%.

As labor costs continue to rise, the rise of raw material prices has also made foreign trade enterprises suffer, especially in the textile and garment industry. "Cotton prices last year were 16 thousand yuan per ton, and this year has risen to 24 thousand yuan. Now cotton is one price per day, the price of products is far behind the price range of raw materials, and exports are basically unprofitable. Many textile enterprises are unable to cope with the runaway cotton prices. Because of the rapid changes in cotton prices and the increasing operating costs of enterprises, the textile enterprises with low profit margins are afraid to take orders.

Cai Gaosheng, chairman of Guangdong silk group, said that the price rise of raw materials this year, especially cotton prices went crazy. When negotiating prices with foreign businessmen, we must ensure profits. The three Canton Fair has rejected such an order. The volume of this Canton Fair is not optimistic, and is estimated to be lower than this spring fair.

Liu Jianjun, Deputy Secretary General of the Canton Fair and press spokesman, said that the three phase of the two phase of Canton Fair is mainly labor intensive industries. Among them, 58 thousand purchasers of the two phase of the Canton Fair were traded at $8 billion 620 million, representing a growth of 0.4% and 1.9% respectively over the 107th period (the same below), with a growth rate of 1.2 and 0.2 percentage points respectively. With the cautious purchase of enterprises, the number of short lists increased within 52.1% months, accounting for 52.1%, and the number of non essential necessities decreased, for example, toys dropped by 7.7%.

　　 The development of manufacturing industry is facing many obstacles.

Many executives believe that, in the face of cost pressures, enterprises have increased export prices to varying degrees, but the profits of enterprises have not increased with the increase in prices. Coupled with the fact that the new generation of migrant workers are "fleeing" manufacturing industry, manufacturing workers are not paying enough attention to their income distribution. In the next few years, the development of manufacturing industry will face severe tests, and the industry shuffling will undoubtedly intensify.

Cai Minqiang said that under the pressure of comprehensive factors, we are suffering in pain. The cost has been increasing, the average wage has increased by 20%, and the raw material has increased by 10%. However, the quotation has increased slightly, far behind the cost increase.

Du Fei, assistant general manager of Shenzhen yanjialong Industrial Development Co., Ltd. said that although the cost of the product has been raised by seven or eight points this year, the price of the product has been raised by only 3%, and the cost gap has been made up through the internal tapping potential. However, the reality is still brutal, and the export profit is getting thinner and thinner.

Jiangsu Kaiyuan (600981) International Group business two, Geng Yu said, we now offer is very difficult, do not know how to quote, the price is high, the guests can not accept, affect the order, affect the export volume, the price is low, our profit is too low, there is no way to get the corresponding profit. If cotton prices rise, enterprises can digest through some industrial upgrading and other means, then the increase in the RMB exchange rate and labor costs will make these labor intensive textile enterprises worse. The average profit level of the textile industry is only 3%-5%, and only by the appreciation of the renminbi, many enterprises will be on the brink of bankruptcy.

In addition to a variety of cost pressures, the future development of the labor-intensive manufacturing industry is facing new obstacles - the threat of labor break. Xue Meng, Secretary General of the toy branch of China Light Industry Crafts Import and Export Association, said that as a labor-intensive industry, the rising labor costs and the shortage of labor force have caused great pressure on enterprises. The wages of workers in toy factories were around 1200 yuan a month. Now many have risen to 1800 yuan, some even higher. But now young people have more career choices, and many people are unwilling to engage in toy production, resulting in a serious shortage of labor force in the toy industry.

"Now the workers in the Zhejiang area are thirty or forty years old aunt, basically no young people. It is worrying that when the last generation of workers retires, the new generation of workers will not be willing to engage in manufacturing. The toy industry, despite huge market demand, may face an awkward situation of no successor. " Xue Meng said.

Cai Minqiang thinks that the lack of people in manufacturing industry is not only a problem of the manufacturing industry itself. The state has put too much resources on monopoly enterprises, their wages and salaries of civil servants have risen rapidly, while the wages of manufacturing enterprises are rising, but the distance between them is widening. The problems brought about by these income distribution levels are reflected in the manufacturing industry. However, manufacturing is the cornerstone of the real economy, which is fatal to the national economy.

　　 Innovation and management is the key to shuffle.

"Orders have increased this year, but no workers have done so, and profits are getting thinner and thinner. For the future, we can not say that there is no confidence, but the business is indeed more and more difficult, and now is the critical period of life and death. The words of Cai Gaosheng, chairman of Guangdong silk group, represent the aspirations of many foreign entrepreneurs.

Xue Meng said, "many enterprises reflect that the current difficulties will be a big reshuffle for the industry, and enterprises are also competing against each other to win the fittest. I believe that as long as the enterprises focus on design and research, improve product quality, strive to build their own brands and enhance their core competitiveness, China's toy industry will have greater development. After all, toys still have a large market demand.

Now many toy enterprises are struggling to maintain, but a considerable number of enterprises are relying on independent innovation, creating their own brands, increasing the added value of products and other ways to get out of the new path. In addition, the toy industry has also encountered more technical barriers to exports, such as the United States on the lead content, the EU's demand for chemicals in toys is even more demanding. From another point of view, this also forces enterprises to improve their technological level and integrate with the international high standards, Xue said.

Cai Minqiang believes that, in the face of severe challenges, the industry shuffling will intensify, SMEs may be washed more, but large enterprises will be washed away accidentally. In the same external environment, we can see who has the ability to see who has the ability to innovate and see who has strong management ability. The clothing industry is not a high-tech industry, the key is innovation and management. Many varieties and small quantities are the future development trend of the industry. Whoever has strong innovation ability will take the initiative.

Cai Gaosheng suggested that the three phase of the Canton Fair is not very good because it is already near Christmas. This year's "Christmas order" is already behind schedule. If we can advance some exhibitions, we expect to receive many orders. But these are not the main ones. From the general direction, the eyes of foreign trade enterprises are inexportable. In 2009, the export volume of Guangdong silk group dropped by 9%, but domestic sales increased by 18%. However, there is still a long way to go for foreign trade enterprises to sell domestically.