Before July, Exports Of Clothing Were Negative.

China Spin The latest data released by the chamber of Commerce for import and export show that the export volume of clothing in China has been negative growth for 1-7 months, with a total export volume of US $82 billion 940 million, a slight decrease of 0.2%, and a fall of 1%-4% among Guangdong, Zhejiang, Jiangsu and Shanghai. In the same period last year, exports of these products increased by 24.4% over the same period last year.

"I have been exporting clothes for decades, the worst this year, worse than in 2008 and even in 1997 and 1998," said Liu Yongqin, chairman of the Guangzhou Leslie Fashion Co. Ltd., an interview with Nandu reporters. "Southeast Asian clothing exports are catching up and even surpassing us." CITIC Securities believes that, compared with the impact of shrinking external demand, the competitiveness of traditional export commodities, including textiles and clothing, has been weakened due to rising costs, which is the main reason for the decline in exports.

Premier Wen Jiabao recently pointed out that the three quarter is the key period for achieving the annual export growth target, and will continue to implement and improve the stable export policy. "This year, next year, we still can not see a predictable trend of improvement. At present, we must first implement policies." He Zuoxian, deputy director of Guangdong SME Bureau, told reporters in Nandu.

Clothing exports encounter cold current

According to the latest data released by the China Textile Import and export chamber, the export volume of clothing in China has been negative growth for 1-7 months, and the export volume was 82 billion 940 million US dollars, a slight decrease of 0.2%. In the same period last year, the export of these products increased by 24.4%. The three main export markets in Europe, the United States and Japan continued to slump, and the export situation of Guangdong, Zhejiang, Jiangsu and Shanghai, which was the top four provinces of garment export, fell by 1%-4%.

"I've been exporting clothes for decades, the worst this year, even worse than in 2008 and even in 1997 and 1998," Liu Yongqin, chairman of Guangzhou's Les apparel limited, told reporters in Nandu. "This year's orders are less than 30% of the previous year." Liu Yongqin began to do it in 70s of last century. clothing Exports belong to Guangdong and even China's earliest exporters. He told Nandu reporters that the export market was very depressed and foreign customers were afraid to place orders, and it was difficult to negotiate prices. The cost of domestic labor and raw materials has doubled or doubled, and profits have been greatly reduced.

"For enterprises, if there is no profit, they would rather not do it." Liu Yongqin said, as far as he knows, many garment enterprises in Dongguan have collapsed and other enterprises have moved abroad. He believes that exporting enterprises to overseas migration is a normal trend. "Southeast Asian clothing exports are catching up and even surpassing us." Liu Yongqin said.

Compared to Southeast Asia, the advantage of our exports lies in quality. "Their quality is not as good as ours, but it will also improve." Liu Yongqin told reporters in Nandu that some orders in Southeast Asia could not be done, and customers would do so for Chinese enterprises. His company would take these orders, "profits would be a little higher than that in Southeast Asia."

But at the same time, it is accompanied by the sacrifice of quantity and the problem of talent. "Now we can't find anyone, but we can't find high-end people." Liu Yongqin said, "the low end of the population is enough, but the low-end orders have been largely lost, and the factory has been reduced from several hundred to dozens of people."

According to the customs statistics of textile chamber of Commerce, the total export volume of textile and clothing in China has been increasing for two consecutive years since 2009, reaching the peak value of 247 billion 950 million US dollars in 2011. From the beginning of 2012, the situation was slightly bleak, and garment export growth slowed down. Taking Japan as an example, imports of clothing from ASEAN countries increased by 22% in the first half of 2012, while imports from China decreased by 4% over the same period last year.

　　 Weakening the competitive edge of traditional export commodities

Garment export is a typical example. It may represent the general situation faced by Chinese traditional export industry.

The decline of competitive advantage of labor-intensive products is most obvious. It is gratifying to note that in recent years, machinery and transport equipment have maintained relative advantages. CITIC Securities believes that this trend shows that China's export structure to Europe and the United States is being optimized. (source: Southern Metropolis Daily Nandu net)

Citic securities analysis, beginning in 2005, capital and technology intensive "machinery and transport equipment" competitive advantage for export promotion effect is weakening, and resource, labor-intensive type of "raw material classification of manufactured goods" and "miscellaneous products" competitiveness of the growth rate of export growth began to decline from 2008, the above three products exports accounted for more than 90% of the export volume of Europe and the United States, and its competitive advantage weakened, resulting in China's growth in exports to Europe and the United States fell.

Citic securities analysts believe that compared with ASEAN countries, China's advantage of unit labor production costs is losing. As a result, the market share of "made in China" in Europe and the United States will steadily decline in the future.

Export growth rate of 10 is not optimistic.

The response of enterprises is only transformation and upgrading. Liu Yongqin told reporters in Nandu that the company has already been sold domestically, and has set up an e-commerce department to take it as the key development direction. Zhou Zhiwu, general manager of Guangzhou Yi Mei uniform Co. Ltd., told reporters in Nandu that the company concentrates on domestic sales, making high-end market, and is developing well.

"This year, next year, we still can not see a predictable trend of improvement. At present, we must first implement policies." He Zuoxian, deputy director of Guangdong SME Bureau, told reporters in Nandu that Guangdong and the central government have introduced a series of support policies for export enterprises, including public services such as talent, brand and technology, as well as structural tax reduction, relief and 37 administrative fees. "Enterprise adaptability should be improved." He Zuoxian analysis, for a long time, the development of talent, brand and technology of small and medium-sized export enterprises is not enough. At present, we should use the forced mechanism, "conditional enterprises and governments promote transformation, and backward enterprises must be eliminated by the market."

The industry has doubts about whether the export growth rate will be 10 this year. Premier Wen Jiabao recently inspecting in Guangdong pointed out that the three quarter is the key period for achieving the annual export growth target, and measures should be taken in a targeted manner. Exit Steady growth, the next step to continue to implement and improve the stable export policy.