The New Round Of Overcapacity Has Serious Impact On Clothing Economy.

< p > according to the statistics of relevant industry associations and the Ministry of industry and commerce, by the end of 2012, the crude steel production capacity was about 9.7 billion tons, the utilization ratio of crude steel capacity was 72%, the cement production capacity reached 30 million tons, the capacity utilization rate was 72.7%, the electrolytic aluminum production capacity was 27 million 650 thousand tons, the capacity utilization rate was 72%, the flat glass production capacity was 1 billion 40 million weight boxes, and the capacity utilization rate was 68.3%.

The utilization rate of shipbuilding capacity is only about 70%.

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< p > "according to the experience of developed countries, the general utilization rate of 80%~90% is relatively moderate, while less than 80% means there is excess capacity, while less than 70% there is a serious surplus problem."

Huang Qunhui told this newspaper that China's capacity utilization rate in crude steel, cement, electrolytic aluminum, flat glass and shipbuilding industry is around 70%, indicating that our overcapacity is very serious.

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< p > the so-called excess capacity, intuition can be understood as an economy's production capacity is greater than its consumption capacity, specifically the economic phenomenon that the utilization rate of capacity is below normal.

So we had two rounds of relatively serious overcapacity in 1998 -2001 and 2003 -2006. Now we are experiencing the third round of overcapacity since 2009.

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< p > overcapacity seems simple, but all of it has become "a href=" //www.sjfzxm.com/news/ "China's economy < /a" development of "chronic illness", behind it has a profound and complex reason, there are reasons for the economic cycle fluctuations caused by the change of market supply and demand, but the more critical reason is that China's economic system needs to be reformed urgently, and the mode of economic development needs to be changed.

In our country, the socialist market economic system is not yet mature. The government led investment driven economic growth mode is still "mainstream". For a long time, it has not only resulted in a large number of low-level duplicated construction, but also in the past two years or even some so-called high-end industries, there has been overcapacity due to herd.

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< p > the capacity utilization of the United States is released monthly by the Federal Reserve monthly, and the annual revision is made in March each year.

The Federal Reserve's productivity index covers 89 sectors of the three digit and four digit industries of the North American industry classification system (NAICS).

However, there is no official statistical data of this index in China. The utilization of capacity in China is generally provided by industry associations or competent departments to make use of the capacity of sub sectors, and the statistical departments have not set up specific statistical systems in this regard.

Researchers generally use the net value of fixed assets and their changes in all industrial / manufacturing industries relative to output (measured by industrial added value or gross industrial product) and changes in industrial electricity consumption.

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< p > obviously, such a management foundation work is unable to guarantee effective a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_cj.asp" > macro control /a >. We must change the short-term performance view which only focuses on the immediate "fire fighting" but ignores the long-term institutional construction.

Overcapacity will be a long-term problem. China must attach importance to these long-term and basic system construction.

Therefore, I suggest that a statistical indicator which comprehensively reflects capacity utilization should be formulated as soon as possible, and the statistical data of the index will be released periodically by the state statistical department.

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